0x843f143F7019738e3FD98c05C9781a23e2b665Bc-1781124181401
0x843f143f7019738e3fd98c05c9781a23e2b665bc
- Realised P&L
- $3.48
- Volume
- $188.33
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $13.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.680 | $13.60 | +$3.60 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.74at 0.690Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$0.14at 0.986Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 22:08 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0839999854 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 21:10 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0259999876 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 20:37 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? | BUY | 0.9859999992 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 19:12 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 06-10 20:52 | Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |