ertfdfg8
0x84395737a8324d01255bff3955d989c07dff432a
- Realised P&L
- $-199.81
- Volume
- $118.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $6.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.075 | $0.62 | −$2.38 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.033 | $0.62 | −$4.38 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$17.89at 0.950Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$10.63at 0.320Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$8.87at 0.530Belichick next UNC head coach?
- +$5.00at 0.750Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 07:04 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 07:04 | Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 13:00 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.947 | $354.87 |
| 05-09 06:56 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9339999999 | $350.00 |
| 05-09 06:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $340.00 |
| 02-25 07:57 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 07:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 02-25 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $1.94 |
| 02-25 07:56 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.988 | $2.0k |
| 02-23 10:27 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.0k |
| 01-20 13:45 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.38 | $61.75 |
| 01-19 15:07 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4 | $65.00 |
| 09-21 10:57 | Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9029999944 | $8.00 |
| 09-21 10:57 | Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 10:56 | Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |