PolyBot

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Traders

Weather-highest-strangle-HL3

0x840e54296d92f99f473ad6a8d225ec351eac2279

Realised P&L
$-22.33
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
1,575
Open portfolio
$26.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,575
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 18:40Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.95$1.00
08-04 18:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6?BUY0.9$1.00
08-04 17:30Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6?BUY0.91$1.00
08-04 16:10Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-04 16:10Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-04 16:10Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-04 16:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.919999448$1.00
08-04 16:10Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.9479999924$1.00
08-04 15:50Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?BUY0.95$1.00
08-04 14:30Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.949999525$1.00
08-04 11:50Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.91$1.00
08-04 10:20Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-04 10:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.96$1.00
08-03 23:40Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.9$1.00
08-03 23:10Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5?BUY0.95$1.00