Weather-highest-strangle-HL3
0x840e54296d92f99f473ad6a8d225ec351eac2279
- Realised P&L
- $-22.33
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,575
- Open portfolio
- $26.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,575
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$5.94at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$5.94at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
- +$5.94at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$5.94at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.9479999924 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:40 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |