PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

manooosh

0x83f62ee4717cd20225d749d36157a8595dda9ac8

Realised P&L
$35.10
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
447
Open portfolio
$329.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded447
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:01Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.99$11.41
08-03 06:01Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 3?SELL0.99$6.50
08-03 06:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.99$12.44
08-03 06:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 3?SELL0.99$3.27
08-03 05:41Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 3?BUY0.98$2.49
08-03 05:35Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 3?BUY0.92$2.57
08-03 05:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.0707964602$1.00
08-03 05:19Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.9439999817$2.47
08-03 05:13Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.9489999889$3.32
08-03 05:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.8299999746$2.61
08-03 05:08Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.9489999889$3.32
08-03 05:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.84$1.74
08-03 05:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.7299999631$2.77
08-03 04:51Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.99$14.30
08-03 04:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.1299998986$1.00