manooosh
0x83f62ee4717cd20225d749d36157a8595dda9ac8
- Realised P&L
- $35.10
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 447
- Open portfolio
- $329.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded447
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.74at 0.139Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
- +$69.83at 0.096Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?
- +$58.20at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 1?
- +$34.42at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$32.00at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.41 |
| 08-03 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $6.50 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.44 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.27 |
| 08-03 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.49 |
| 08-03 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.57 |
| 08-03 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0707964602 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9439999817 | $2.47 |
| 08-03 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9489999889 | $3.32 |
| 08-03 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8299999746 | $2.61 |
| 08-03 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9489999889 | $3.32 |
| 08-03 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.74 |
| 08-03 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7299999631 | $2.77 |
| 08-03 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $14.30 |
| 08-03 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |