0x83c462132755f46E38b759c1F44DEdcA72D39DF4-1772230718215
0x83c462132755f46e38b759c1f44dedca72d39df4
- Realised P&L
- $-41.65
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $11.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.542 | 0.221 | $11.40 | −$16.60 |
| Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5 · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.70 |
| Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-03-08? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Senators vs. Canucks · Canucks | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| CEHL: Vitkovice vs. Dynamo Pardubice · Dynamo Pardubice | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.5 · Yes | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spread: Hawks (-9.5) · Bucks | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.74 |
| Clippers vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Lightning vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.80 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Sabres · Maple Leafs | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Down | 0.209 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.66 |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5 · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Tari Eason: Assists O/U 1.5 · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| SHL: Oerebro HK vs. Brynaes · Brynaes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.61at 0.330Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5
- +$22.78at 0.180BNP Paribas Open: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Eala
- +$20.30at 0.330Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns
- +$15.71at 0.389Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5
- +$12.73at 0.440Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 14:02 | Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5) | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 03-15 14:01 | Zadar: Zsombor Piros vs Enrico Dalla Valle | BUY | 0.82 | $9.84 |
| 03-15 14:01 | Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagal | BUY | 0.3899999011 | $1.42 |
| 03-15 14:00 | Zadar: Nerman Fatic vs Tiago Pereira | BUY | 0.359999931 | $1.67 |
| 03-15 14:00 | Murcia: Edas Butvilas vs Mikhail Kukushkin | BUY | 0.52 | $4.55 |
| 03-15 13:55 | Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.5417555807 | $28.00 |
| 03-14 17:26 | Spread: Hawks (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4799999369 | $2.74 |
| 03-14 11:15 | Fujian Sturgeons vs. Ningbo Rockets | BUY | 0.6699999796 | $6.25 |
| 03-14 11:10 | Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducks | BUY | 0.7699999901 | $12.39 |
| 03-14 11:09 | KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. CSKA Moscow | BUY | 0.513700262 | $4.86 |
| 03-14 11:08 | SHL: Linkoeping vs. Oerebro HK | BUY | 0.4699999913 | $4.85 |
| 03-12 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2090000219 | $1.65 |
| 03-12 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | SELL | 0.990999989 | $1.62 |
| 03-12 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7290003505 | $1.18 |
| 03-12 20:54 | Maple Leafs vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.3699999456 | $3.13 |