PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mferbots

0x83be19d8916ae3f8e3fd1b9807bd32a9a26a6f94

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$280.4k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$946.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? · Yes0.2601.000$501.00+$370.74
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins · St. Louis Cardinals0.5100.500$308.50$6.17
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22? · No0.8501.000$79.00+$11.85
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $1400.3000.229$35.65$11.15
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? · Yes0.5000.365$10.22$3.78
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3300.185$5.37$4.21
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.1900.130$3.90$1.80
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.3200.255$1.87$0.48
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30? · Yes0.3001.000$1.00+$0.70
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2480.041$0.16$0.83
Will Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11) · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$14.49
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$0.22
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3100.000$0.00$135.16
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 31 be less than 2,000,000? · No0.3600.000$0.00$122.76
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.3200.000$0.00$26.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 13:29Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?SELL0.33$340.23
04-11 01:24Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?BUY0.8$824.80
04-09 14:15Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.25$68.50
04-09 04:58Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.25$68.50
03-31 02:29Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?SELL0.046$11.41
03-30 16:35Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?SELL0.46$379.96
03-30 16:34Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?SELL0.46$410.32
03-30 16:21Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026SELL0.66$307.56
03-30 08:08Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026BUY0.66$307.56
03-30 04:04Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?BUY0.84$1.4k
03-30 01:14Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?BUY0.3$46.80
03-26 04:03Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.48$350.40
03-25 19:08Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.59$59.00
03-25 16:10Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will any team beat VitalitySELL0.63$504.00
03-25 11:18Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will any team beat VitalityBUY0.63$504.00