PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8385118244e822f5c12b13234fbb07ab40dd89a4

Realised P&L
$-270.22
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$3.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.0880.030$1.84$3.58
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 4? · Yes0.0800.025$1.61$3.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.1420.003$0.33$15.24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 3? · Yes0.0510.001$0.05$5.06
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 17? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$1.00
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants0.1900.000$0.00$5.15
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 24? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$5.24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 12? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$17.25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 28? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$5.20
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Seattle Mariners0.1350.000$0.00$13.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on July 21? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 15? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$1.23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 27? · No0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 21? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:01Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.0884450319$5.42
08-03 21:42Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.0782022472$5.22
08-03 15:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 4?BUY0.08$5.15
08-03 14:41Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.21$5.25
08-03 02:16Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2?SELL0.999$25.78
08-03 00:26Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2?BUY0.55$14.20
08-02 16:45Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.2873183352$5.10
08-02 16:45Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 3?BUY0.0511357951$5.11
08-02 16:44Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 2?BUY0.0699999882$5.41
08-01 04:05Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.5824744844$7.74
08-01 02:41Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.6299999939$21.58
08-01 02:30San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.1899999712$5.15
07-31 15:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 31?BUY0.246657754$7.38
07-31 03:33Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?BUY0.2592756833$8.22
07-31 03:24Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.05$5.08