0x8385118244e822f5c12b13234fbb07ab40dd89a4
- Realised P&L
- $-270.22
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $3.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.41at 0.183Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 11?
- +$53.56at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 24?
- +$46.18at 0.192Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$41.95at 0.224Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 23?
- +$41.07at 0.326Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0884450319 | $5.42 |
| 08-03 21:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0782022472 | $5.22 |
| 08-03 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.15 |
| 08-03 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.25 |
| 08-03 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.78 |
| 08-03 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.55 | $14.20 |
| 08-02 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.2873183352 | $5.10 |
| 08-02 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0511357951 | $5.11 |
| 08-02 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.0699999882 | $5.41 |
| 08-01 04:05 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.5824744844 | $7.74 |
| 08-01 02:41 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.6299999939 | $21.58 |
| 08-01 02:30 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.1899999712 | $5.15 |
| 07-31 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.246657754 | $7.38 |
| 07-31 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.2592756833 | $8.22 |
| 07-31 03:24 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.05 | $5.08 |