JasonJia523
0x830c3640f7c82a4dad184ea3af4e234984fc439e
- Realised P&L
- $-26.35
- Volume
- $471.05
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $8.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.705 | $8.49 | −$1.50 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eagles · Qingdao Eagles | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.30 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.87 |
| Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks · Beijing Ducks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.53at 0.630Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducks
- +$3.58at 0.580Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$3.26at 0.605Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$2.35at 0.810Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
- +$2.27at 0.770Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:58 | Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $9.99 |
| 07-12 14:37 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 14:09 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 14:00 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6049999637 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 04:40 | Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 06-13 04:19 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 06-13 04:18 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.9389999953 | $12.00 |
| 06-13 04:16 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999866 | $15.00 |
| 06-02 13:59 | Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 05-17 13:34 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.01 |
| 05-08 13:10 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 05-08 13:08 | Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 04-19 14:10 | Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters | SELL | 0.999 | $9.92 |
| 04-19 14:10 | Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducks | SELL | 0.999 | $109.72 |
| 04-18 16:13 | Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters | BUY | 0.77 | $7.59 |