gresatesty
0x830018aad001368ee845686f4de3f088967b2302
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $3.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-49.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.440 | $2.85 | −$0.45 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$316.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.63 |
| BNB Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.58 |
| BNB Up or Down - July 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.68 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 10AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$268.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$457.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.35 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 1PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$457.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - November 16, 9AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$316.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.500BNB Up or Down - July 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$2.06at 0.630Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
- +$1.71at 0.500Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999428 | $3.30 |
| 08-01 01:53 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.71 |
| 07-24 01:59 | BNB Up or Down - July 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.68 |
| 07-20 01:35 | BNB Up or Down - July 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.67 |
| 07-18 01:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.63 |
| 07-11 01:10 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.63 | $3.50 |
| 11-16 09:20 | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $457.00 |
| 11-16 09:19 | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $457.00 |
| 11-16 09:14 | XRP Up or Down - November 16, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $316.50 |