0x82c5C95Aae4741AC160F3771393cfDF8DF7aA96f-1773525401054
0x82c5c95aae4741ac160f3771393cfdf8df7aa96f
- Realised P&L
- $-20.19
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $0.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.019 | $0.09 | −$2.91 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.48 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Down | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Down | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.84at 0.200Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$3.42at 0.170Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$3.23at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$2.87at 0.480Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$2.86at 0.560Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 02:55 | Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 05-17 04:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $3.33 |
| 05-17 04:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 04:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.53 |
| 05-17 04:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0947279419 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 04:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $2.27 |
| 05-17 04:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 05-17 04:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 04:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 04:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 04:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $1.92 |
| 05-17 04:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 04:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $7.25 |
| 05-17 04:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | SELL | 0.4657563025 | $4.43 |
| 05-17 04:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5248979624 | $5.00 |