PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x82c43C16cb797E71b37Cd172b6b19C37FAF12A10-1775986049040

0x82c43c16cb797e71b37cd172b6b19c37faf12a10

Realised P&L
$122.46
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$320.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? · Yes0.7910.790$188.39$0.30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8100.855$131.94+$6.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 19:39Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?BUY0.6999291128$64.18
06-01 20:11Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.8099999924$52.00
05-31 18:43Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?BUY0.848296729$124.51
05-31 16:50Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8099999997$125.00
04-20 10:49Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?BUY0.7958441021$200.00
04-20 10:48Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.984$252.31
04-12 09:34Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7799999995$200.00
Trader 0x82c43C16cb797E71b37Cd172b6b19C37FAF12A10-1775986049040 · PolyBot