fullhd
0x81ea2f33df5bc07389cd13ddaece64e6a62e8d50
- Realised P&L
- $-39.45
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $4.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.003 | $3.05 | −$33.95 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.003 | $1.09 | −$26.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.83at 0.037Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.62at 0.890Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.932Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
- +$0.11at 0.900US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$0.09at 0.920Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 01:09 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.079650798 | $11.58 |
| 05-02 20:56 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0289999971 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 03:24 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0242428084 | $7.00 |
| 04-26 12:28 | Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0341947128 | $20.00 |
| 04-25 10:45 | Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.40 |
| 04-25 10:41 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 04-25 01:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0500156299 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 17:32 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0979999826 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 17:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0949719637 | $8.57 |
| 04-24 17:15 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0989999832 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 01:22 | Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30? | BUY | 0.9309999874 | $2.00 |
| 04-24 01:15 | Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30? | BUY | 0.9329999706 | $2.00 |
| 04-24 01:11 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 01:04 | Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 00:41 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |