PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Anvil2001

0x81e369a867f061d78482a531a3292fb5fd14e598

Realised P&L
$-13.73
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
2,147
Open portfolio
$179.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,147
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:17Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.988$19.76
08-03 23:17Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.93$19.53
08-03 23:17Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.965$19.30
08-03 23:17Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.987$19.74
08-03 23:17Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.963$19.26
08-03 23:17Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.98$19.60
08-03 23:17Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.98$19.60
08-03 23:17Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.99$19.80
08-03 22:55Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 6PM ETBUY0.99$9.90
08-03 21:43Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.99$14.85
08-03 20:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
08-03 20:41WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on August 3?BUY0.99$19.80
08-03 20:38Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.99$19.80
08-03 20:34Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.99$19.80
08-03 20:29WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 3?BUY0.99$19.80