0x81934a37469e353fa5c57e20287d8232e500d8a0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.84
- Volume
- $72.55
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $7.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Pacquiao | 0.360 | 0.475 | $2.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.905 | 0.933 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? · Yes | 0.669 | 0.644 | $1.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.043 | $1.20 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.31at 0.600Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 26?
- +$-2.00at 0.073Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.700Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 19:08 | Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 04-25 19:07 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9049999638 | $2.00 |
| 04-25 19:07 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999669 | $2.00 |
| 04-25 19:05 | Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | BUY | 0.0707340086 | $2.00 |
| 04-25 19:05 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | BUY | 0.6689999177 | $2.00 |
| 04-25 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 26? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $1.92 |
| 04-25 18:58 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |