nicedog
0x819240b370c33ab571cdd04320d824e358dd871e
- Realised P&L
- $-657.84
- Volume
- $41.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,716
- Open portfolio
- $121.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,716
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.35at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$81.19at 0.493Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$65.05at 0.369Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$52.93at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$52.23at 0.364Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 08-04 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.17 | $13.23 |
| 08-04 20:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.75 |
| 08-04 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.90 |
| 08-04 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 08-04 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 08-03 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.48 | $11.26 |
| 08-03 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 08-03 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 08-03 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0840314 | $6.48 |
| 08-03 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.854 | $6.57 |
| 08-03 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.859 | $8.37 |
| 08-03 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.14 |
| 08-03 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.60 |
| 08-03 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.818181 | $16.36 |