PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8116c9deec00e540e44f9a0df746bcecde73465d

Realised P&L
$-235.05
Volume
$26.1k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$747.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.2920.445$72.95+$25.11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4? · Yes0.2860.430$72.12+$24.21
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes0.2850.415$69.50+$21.68
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes0.2600.335$61.52+$13.77
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.2610.305$55.93+$8.13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? · Yes0.2850.305$51.24+$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? · Yes0.2800.275$46.95$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 4? · Yes0.2660.240$43.04$4.73
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? · Yes0.2800.245$41.84$5.98
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? · Yes0.2890.230$38.11$9.75
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? · Yes0.2770.275$35.88$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.2390.145$28.91$18.79
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.2910.265$27.93$2.78
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? · Yes0.2940.290$25.40$0.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.2950.155$25.14$22.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 16:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4?BUY0.3$17.10
08-03 16:09Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4?BUY0.2599999916$19.10
08-03 16:08Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.2392476489$47.70
08-03 16:08Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4?BUY0.279999997$47.80
08-03 16:07Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4?BUY0.2846428571$47.82
08-03 16:07Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 4?BUY0.2663754611$47.77
08-03 16:07Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.2855419122$47.82
08-03 16:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.2918140783$47.84
08-03 16:06Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.2599999962$47.75
08-03 16:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.2606477214$47.80
08-03 16:05Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.2681531806$47.77
08-03 16:05Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.2888746069$47.86
08-03 16:04Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4?BUY0.298125$23.85
08-03 16:04Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.2921853523$28.80
08-03 16:03Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.2799999963$47.82