0x8116c9deec00e540e44f9a0df746bcecde73465d
- Realised P&L
- $-235.05
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $747.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.26at 0.265Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 2?
- +$213.09at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2?
- +$61.30at 0.251Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?
- +$6.23at 0.234Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3?
- +$5.70at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $17.10 |
| 08-03 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2599999916 | $19.10 |
| 08-03 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2392476489 | $47.70 |
| 08-03 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.279999997 | $47.80 |
| 08-03 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2846428571 | $47.82 |
| 08-03 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2663754611 | $47.77 |
| 08-03 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2855419122 | $47.82 |
| 08-03 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2918140783 | $47.84 |
| 08-03 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2599999962 | $47.75 |
| 08-03 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2606477214 | $47.80 |
| 08-03 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2681531806 | $47.77 |
| 08-03 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2888746069 | $47.86 |
| 08-03 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.298125 | $23.85 |
| 08-03 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2921853523 | $28.80 |
| 08-03 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2799999963 | $47.82 |