Lorenav54
0x80ba87ad5aa27cc052ef409ca1ad55081fc5a67e
- Realised P&L
- $75.42
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $57.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July? · No | 0.999 | 0.994 | $57.71 | −$0.29 |
| Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.63at 0.670Magic vs. Hornets
- +$24.55at 0.550Clippers vs. Pelicans
- +$15.22at 0.988Celtics vs. Spurs
- +$11.73at 0.810Suns vs. Spurs
- +$9.52at 0.840Cavaliers vs. Bulls
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 04:40 | Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.00 |
| 06-25 13:47 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $187.50 |
| 06-25 13:41 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 08:32 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $163.00 |
| 05-27 08:31 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $124.00 |
| 05-08 09:44 | Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $287.00 |
| 04-21 01:21 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.998 | $286.48 |
| 04-08 06:28 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on April 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $286.20 |
| 04-01 02:16 | Raptors vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.9989999974 | $285.94 |
| 03-19 18:15 | Magic vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 03-19 18:12 | Cavaliers vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.8399999879 | $50.00 |
| 03-19 18:07 | Clippers vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 03-19 18:05 | Suns vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 03-11 02:24 | Celtics vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.988 | $1.3k |
| 03-06 09:11 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 2 above $7.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |