PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

colorwheel

0x8026492055e8396b67de4ca88e887725d73d2f99

Realised P&L
$191.34
Volume
$313.1k
Markets traded
274
Open portfolio
$505.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded274
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1280.747$149.30+$123.80
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4300.395$79.00$7.00
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2050.077$57.51$95.37
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? · No0.7901.000$50.00+$10.50
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.8051.000$43.46+$8.46
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0490.100$28.12+$14.28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2670.045$27.00$133.00
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.3330.180$24.30$20.60
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1600.105$10.50$5.50
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2810.060$9.71$35.85
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1780.070$8.40$13.00
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0620.029$8.22$9.06
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0620.033$6.50$6.00
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1850.018$1.96$18.76
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4180.095$1.14$3.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-03 17:28Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.14$14.00
03-31 00:48US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?SELL0.81$161.99
03-31 00:48US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.92$96.78
03-31 00:48US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.993$198.60
03-31 00:47Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?SELL0.985525$197.10
03-11 17:22US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026?SELL0.86$9.04
03-11 17:20Prince Andrew charged by March 31?SELL0.05$10.00
03-11 17:19Epstein client list released by June 30?SELL0.85$85.31
03-11 17:17Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.464048$58.01
03-11 17:15Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?SELL0.1034029571$4.41
03-11 17:13Starmer out by April 30, 2026?SELL0.14$14.00
03-11 17:12US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026?SELL0.8568944099$275.92
03-05 03:02Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.47$2.35
03-05 02:48US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?BUY0.81$4.05
02-28 16:32Epstein client list released by June 30?BUY0.86$34.72