colorwheel
0x8026492055e8396b67de4ca88e887725d73d2f99
- Realised P&L
- $191.34
- Volume
- $313.1k
- Markets traded
- 274
- Open portfolio
- $505.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded274
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.951Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
- +$657.04at 0.044US strike on Syria by December 31?
- +$549.02at 0.890Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$333.22at 0.667Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$313.37at 0.854Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 17:28 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 03-31 00:48 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.81 | $161.99 |
| 03-31 00:48 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.92 | $96.78 |
| 03-31 00:48 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 03-31 00:47 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | SELL | 0.985525 | $197.10 |
| 03-11 17:22 | US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $9.04 |
| 03-11 17:20 | Prince Andrew charged by March 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 17:19 | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $85.31 |
| 03-11 17:17 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.464048 | $58.01 |
| 03-11 17:15 | Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein? | SELL | 0.1034029571 | $4.41 |
| 03-11 17:13 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 03-11 17:12 | US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8568944099 | $275.92 |
| 03-05 03:02 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 03-05 02:48 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 02-28 16:32 | Epstein client list released by June 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.72 |