0xAc7061254bc898fB410ea0D7F56fE73A8F9c8872-1771794413455
0x7f7e75f90fbc568e41bf69738d5024eb1dc045d6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.27
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $10.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.345 | $10.50 | +$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.49at 0.820Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
- +$1.73at 0.126Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$1.45at 0.220Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$1.32at 0.462Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.18at 0.012Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:29 | Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.012716267 | $0.44 |
| 07-30 19:18 | Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.2599999832 | $9.00 |
| 07-30 19:17 | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.2299999793 | $7.00 |
| 07-30 19:16 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.5 | $17.32 |
| 07-27 21:57 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4619999929 | $16.00 |
| 07-27 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $5.12 |
| 07-27 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 21:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $16.32 |
| 07-25 22:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999911 | $17.00 |
| 07-25 17:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.24 | $17.45 |
| 07-24 12:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2199999915 | $16.00 |
| 07-23 15:21 | Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.3 | $16.45 |
| 07-22 19:39 | Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.3099999912 | $17.00 |
| 07-22 15:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $17.73 |
| 07-20 14:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1499999719 | $4.00 |