0x7F4a48171474eA8e2c1c122112A2C3B8d8EDd906-1781455563042
0x7f4a48171474ea8e2c1c122112a2c3b8d8edd906
- Realised P&L
- $-47.99
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $27.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.63at 0.154Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 42%-44%?
- +$9.11at 0.180Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-07-26?
- +$6.45at 0.520Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 31?
- +$4.49at 0.690Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?
- +$4.26at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.3804877056 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 15:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.955 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 00:12 | Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.86 |
| 08-02 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |