VDF1
0x7f22f080350e6726cbbdd1ed73b06b266e61e558
- Realised P&L
- $169.93
- Volume
- $41.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $149.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.306 | 0.747 | $102.89 | +$60.72 |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.210 | $26.53 | +$1.43 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.220 | $20.55 | +$3.88 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.95 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.00at 0.075Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$68.39at 0.028Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$37.66at 0.304Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
- +$36.92at 0.520US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$21.52at 0.126Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 10:03 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.23 | $21.53 |
| 07-19 22:06 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.4502166667 | $27.01 |
| 07-19 21:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2431079877 | $30.01 |
| 07-19 18:57 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.7284975 | $29.14 |
| 07-18 17:32 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0699999958 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 17:32 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.1099999938 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 17:26 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.1011797574 | $19.68 |
| 07-17 22:03 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $13.03 |
| 07-15 21:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $50.51 |
| 07-15 19:53 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.024 | $16.62 |
| 07-15 08:08 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.226 | $19.37 |
| 07-14 21:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.194999996 | $35.00 |
| 07-14 21:03 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1779999968 | $44.00 |
| 07-12 10:11 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $32.15 |
| 07-11 08:53 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0226031401 | $16.74 |