VirginiaCurry2313
0x7f0db86ffb47f28c5e4669261bf1356c44851683
- Realised P&L
- $-369.39
- Volume
- $254.7k
- Markets traded
- 267
- Open portfolio
- $843.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded267
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.890 | 0.850 | $843.20 | −$39.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.40at 0.180Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
- +$364.19at 0.560Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?
- +$233.28at 0.640Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
- +$195.07at 0.770Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$162.96at 0.580Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 09:13 | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $65.12 |
| 04-11 09:11 | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $464.64 |
| 04-11 05:55 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $352.88 |
| 04-11 04:50 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $356.89 |
| 04-11 04:45 | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $529.76 |
| 04-09 12:37 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $325.89 |
| 04-07 11:31 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $403.92 |
| 03-25 16:28 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | SELL | 0.34 | $212.16 |
| 03-25 16:27 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | SELL | 0.35 | $32.20 |
| 03-23 05:03 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | BUY | 0.38 | $272.08 |
| 03-21 18:36 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.76 | $272.08 |
| 03-20 08:11 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.86 | $307.88 |
| 03-18 14:42 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.265 | $147.34 |
| 03-18 03:11 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.752 | $418.11 |
| 03-13 01:12 | New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $882.88 |