0x7DDedCB7B901D09B41493A1e045386A1802E1f8A-1768064177321
0x7ddedcb7b901d09b41493a1e045386a1802e1f8a
- Realised P&L
- $-236.39
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $79.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.085 | $79.50 | +$2.50 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.70 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.46 |
| Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.57at 0.280US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
- +$-6.00at 0.022US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$-6.17at 0.120Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 07:05 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0823267023 | $77.00 |
| 05-05 12:25 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0312802034 | $16.00 |
| 04-07 14:00 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.70 |
| 03-12 05:42 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1276737195 | $155.00 |
| 02-01 08:22 | US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.46 |
| 02-01 08:21 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.43 |
| 02-01 08:17 | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 01-31 18:30 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 01-31 11:40 | Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? | BUY | 0.0502212598 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 15:33 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 01-25 08:19 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 01-25 07:56 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 01-17 20:45 | Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance? | BUY | 0.4548420447 | $5.00 |
| 01-17 20:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | SELL | 0.046 | $3.83 |
| 01-12 18:16 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |