ElPresidente84
0x7c338b5fceb66ddbb0e00bad0ce5770875eff910
- Realised P&L
- $-92.56
- Volume
- $94.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,171
- Open portfolio
- $25.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,171
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$451.61at 0.082Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$423.93at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$379.85at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
- +$289.04at 0.163Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
- +$280.89at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 08-04 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4995004995 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 21:11 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 21:04 | Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.17 |
| 08-03 21:04 | Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.16 |
| 08-03 21:04 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.91 |
| 08-03 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |