PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7Bf5766399365F9Fe628084CcDA66909c8206D9F-1767871609818

0x7bf5766399365f9fe628084ccda66909c8206d9f

Realised P&L
$28.21
Volume
$236.07
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$66.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · Yes0.1291.000$38.84+$33.84
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.5520.595$16.17+$1.17
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2220.145$6.52$3.48
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.5100.260$5.10$4.90
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$2.27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$7.65
Will another country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? · Yes0.4930.000$0.00$3.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-17 11:18Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5518799977$15.00
05-17 11:18Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2223167192$10.00
04-07 17:27Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.1287424935$5.00
04-07 17:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.18$7.65
04-07 08:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8?BUY0.279999919$2.18
03-08 21:09US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
03-02 22:25Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
03-02 22:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.4929999749$3.42
03-02 21:37US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.5$20.00