0x7Bf5766399365F9Fe628084CcDA66909c8206D9F-1767871609818
0x7bf5766399365f9fe628084ccda66909c8206d9f
- Realised P&L
- $28.21
- Volume
- $236.07
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $66.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · Yes | 0.129 | 1.000 | $38.84 | +$33.84 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.552 | 0.595 | $16.17 | +$1.17 |
| Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.145 | $6.52 | −$3.48 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.260 | $5.10 | −$4.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.65 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.493 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 11:18 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5518799977 | $15.00 |
| 05-17 11:18 | Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2223167192 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 17:27 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.1287424935 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 17:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.65 |
| 04-07 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8? | BUY | 0.279999919 | $2.18 |
| 03-08 21:09 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 03-02 22:25 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 03-02 22:19 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.4929999749 | $3.42 |
| 03-02 21:37 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |