7b9a7
0x7bf0fd1f55f5a41f29e22ef5867046308a8dc7e4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.55
- Volume
- $51.5k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $10.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.995 | 0.991 | $5.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.993 | 0.993 | $5.00 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.01at 0.988Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.01at 0.992Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.78at 0.964Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$0.76at 0.977Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.63at 0.954Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9929999434 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 02:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 06-26 02:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.9939998171 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 02:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.9929999992 | $6.00 |
| 06-26 02:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 06-13 05:25 | Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 05:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.9939998171 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 05:24 | Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 02:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 02:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 02:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1? | BUY | 0.9910089811 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 10:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9929999448 | $9.99 |
| 04-11 10:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9739999991 | $10.96 |
| 04-11 10:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9919999159 | $9.99 |
| 04-03 02:39 | Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.9779999998 | $11.00 |