0x7bb5a08972c8d48b96f35718e05eecce84bc3bf4
- Realised P&L
- $-172.19
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $7.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 6? · No | 0.560 | 0.370 | $6.44 | −$3.30 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? · No | 0.500 | 0.080 | $0.70 | −$3.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.29at 0.390Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?
- +$70.46at 0.393Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 12?
- +$65.92at 0.432Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 22?
- +$64.94at 0.390Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9?
- +$61.38at 0.459Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:57 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5599999793 | $9.74 |
| 08-04 11:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.37 |
| 08-04 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5299999874 | $5.88 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5599999785 | $3.12 |
| 08-02 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.43 |
| 08-02 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.66 |
| 08-02 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4399999529 | $4.48 |
| 08-02 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.3457543103 | $4.81 |
| 08-01 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4899999148 | $2.76 |
| 08-01 17:30 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.92 |
| 08-01 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.5799999043 | $2.06 |
| 08-01 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.96 |
| 08-01 17:25 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6199999324 | $3.12 |
| 08-01 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.2197381342 | $2.69 |
| 08-01 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.02 |