0x7b4549f1fb48f8411a4b7306f9e834d801e35b4e
- Realised P&L
- $-78.48
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $20.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Cardinals · Panthers | 0.515 | 0.505 | $9.93 | −$0.19 |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.510 | 0.495 | $3.12 | −$0.09 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.560 | 0.555 | $2.81 | −$0.03 |
| Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.210 | $2.76 | −$0.13 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.015 | $1.91 | −$0.14 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini · VCU Rams | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Hornets vs. Celtics · Hornets | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.61 |
| Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders · Akron Zips | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.04 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.17 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.67at 0.140Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$20.00at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$17.76at 0.360Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$15.66at 0.390Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$12.73at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:08 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999746 | $3.21 |
| 08-04 15:13 | Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5599999763 | $2.84 |
| 08-03 16:02 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.4099999405 | $3.17 |
| 08-02 12:56 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.48 | $2.79 |
| 08-02 12:56 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4799999613 | $2.48 |
| 08-02 12:55 | Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.3599999109 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 12:53 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.42 | $2.94 |
| 08-02 01:34 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.2199999513 | $2.89 |
| 08-02 00:30 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.2399999317 | $2.39 |
| 08-01 17:52 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4 | $2.32 |
| 08-01 14:02 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5799999348 | $3.56 |
| 08-01 01:08 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.32 | $2.23 |
| 08-01 01:06 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.49 | $4.14 |
| 07-31 21:18 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5299999543 | $3.13 |
| 07-31 18:56 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5599999833 | $4.03 |