0x7AcDae71c7413586E289700BfEED866eE3a11086-1768418567426
0x7acdae71c7413586e289700bfeed866ee3a11086
- Realised P&L
- $-6.5k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 1,609
- Open portfolio
- $27.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,609
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.022 | $27.47 | −$35.11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? · No | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.04 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 1? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.64 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.30 |
| Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? · No | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? · Down | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.90 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in July? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.39 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$951.92at 0.094Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$948.07at 0.052Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
- +$579.00at 0.150Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$453.97at 0.188Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
- +$447.83at 0.050Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 18:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.051 | $23.79 |
| 08-01 18:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.048787234 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 18:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.046 | $9.20 |
| 08-01 18:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $24.00 |
| 08-01 17:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.30 |
| 08-01 17:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.66 |
| 08-01 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BUY | 0.23 | $29.90 |
| 07-31 18:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.045 | $19.35 |
| 07-31 17:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.069 | $6.97 |
| 07-31 17:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.084 | $4.20 |
| 07-31 16:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.151 | $45.30 |
| 07-31 16:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.164 | $41.00 |
| 07-31 16:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.00 |
| 07-31 15:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.0024596486 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 15:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |