PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7a8c7A4d93f93EE4ae3b143818F86Aef1F868e34-1772375005910

0x7a8c7a4d93f93ee4ae3b143818f86aef1f868e34

Realised P&L
$-88.25
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$1.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes0.5980.022$1.13$28.87
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat? · Yes0.5800.015$0.53$19.47
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$23.00
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$9.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$9.85
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? · Yes0.5780.000$0.00$52.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$35.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$13.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 29? · Yes0.4990.000$0.00$48.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Up0.3710.000$0.00$9.86
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$10.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.6899999917$5.00
07-11 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.6899999917$5.00
07-11 14:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.32$5.00
06-24 18:37Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.0129672925$13.00
05-05 18:22Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?BUY0.1799999947$23.00
05-05 13:06Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
04-20 14:41Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?BUY0.5777386088$52.00
04-20 14:40Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?BUY0.6799999984$50.00
04-20 14:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.5299999899$9.32
04-04 15:00Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?BUY0.3599999942$33.66
03-28 09:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 29?BUY0.4993885039$47.47
03-26 16:11Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?BUY0.5976115457$30.00
03-26 16:10Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?BUY0.6$30.00
03-23 17:15Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?BUY0.5766662708$58.00
03-18 17:01Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?BUY0.71$71.00