0x7a8c7A4d93f93EE4ae3b143818F86Aef1F868e34-1772375005910
0x7a8c7a4d93f93ee4ae3b143818f86aef1f868e34
- Realised P&L
- $-88.25
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $1.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.36at 0.279Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
- +$69.32at 0.590Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?
- +$42.71at 0.700Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?
- +$42.58at 0.577Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
- +$29.00at 0.710Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 18:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.0129672925 | $13.00 |
| 05-05 18:22 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | BUY | 0.1799999947 | $23.00 |
| 05-05 13:06 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 04-20 14:41 | Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia? | BUY | 0.5777386088 | $52.00 |
| 04-20 14:40 | Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |
| 04-20 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $9.32 |
| 04-04 15:00 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.3599999942 | $33.66 |
| 03-28 09:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.4993885039 | $47.47 |
| 03-26 16:11 | Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | BUY | 0.5976115457 | $30.00 |
| 03-26 16:10 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 03-23 17:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | BUY | 0.5766662708 | $58.00 |
| 03-18 17:01 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |