nikita227
0x7a4112fb942e70b776d61a322b9cfaeeb582a18f
- Realised P&L
- $-74.92
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $19.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.85at 0.540Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$6.30at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
- +$5.67at 0.150Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.26at 0.190Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?
- +$2.68at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 05:42 | Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27? | BUY | 0.0939999225 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 05:42 | ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 05:42 | Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 05:42 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 05:41 | Government shutdown by October 1? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 18:44 | Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17? | BUY | 0.1029999168 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 18:44 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 15:20 | Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 15:20 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 15:20 | Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 15:20 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? | BUY | 0.4929998876 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 15:20 | FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010? | BUY | 0.0539999504 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 15:17 | FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 15:17 | FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 15:17 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |