PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nikita227

0x7a4112fb942e70b776d61a322b9cfaeeb582a18f

Realised P&L
$-74.92
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$19.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? · No0.1700.465$2.74+$1.74
Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31? · No0.5201.000$1.92+$0.92
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? · No0.6300.987$1.57+$0.57
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? · No0.4930.734$1.49+$0.49
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? · No0.4300.640$1.49+$0.49
Government shutdown by October 1? · No0.5400.790$1.46+$0.46
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? · No0.6500.740$1.14+$0.14
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.6200.685$1.10+$0.10
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? · No0.6200.650$1.05+$0.05
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · No0.5400.520$0.96$0.04
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate? · No0.2200.185$0.84$0.16
Kansas Supreme Court Elections Amendment Passes? · No0.6400.535$0.84$0.16
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · No0.5400.450$0.83$0.17
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · No0.6400.445$0.70$0.30
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.6100.365$0.60$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 05:42Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?BUY0.0939999225$1.00
07-22 05:42ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?BUY0.429999828$1.00
07-22 05:42Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
07-22 05:42Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.64$1.00
07-22 05:41Government shutdown by October 1?BUY0.54$1.00
07-17 18:44Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?BUY0.1029999168$1.00
07-17 18:44Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
07-17 15:20Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?BUY0.048999954$1.00
07-17 15:20Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
07-17 15:20Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?BUY0.52$1.00
07-17 15:20Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?BUY0.4929998876$1.00
07-17 15:20FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
07-17 15:17FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
07-17 15:17FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
07-17 15:17Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?BUY0.1899998784$1.00