80283
0x79eece3a0d0a0a6fae34a511b936745f66c31a48
- Realised P&L
- $1.22
- Volume
- $294.04
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $4.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.966 | 0.981 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.984 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$0.44at 0.957Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.44at 0.820Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$0.30at 0.930Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 23:43 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 13:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 08:46 | Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 02:38 | Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 01:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9789999985 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 01:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 03:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.979999657 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 10:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9749995247 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 12:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9639998708 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 14:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399997556 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 13:53 | Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in June? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 13:52 | Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in June? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 01:53 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 10:04 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.9819999234 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 01:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $2.00 |