rumpakhfnkc
0x79adb71526c0dd7fa09e6a78c93ef0ad016cfbbc
- Realised P&L
- $-7.3k
- Volume
- $73.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $46.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.347 | 0.175 | $45.98 | −$44.90 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.69 | −$0.69 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$599.88 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.7k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Boston Red Sox | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$287.97 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.38 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Cavaliers | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.96 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$686.51 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Cincinnati Reds | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$322.00 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals · Seattle Mariners | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.10 |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs · MVK Esports | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.22 |
| Thunder vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$899.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.360Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$759.23at 0.770Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- +$276.00at 0.540Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$79.80at 0.620Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
- +$29.58at 0.420San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 05:38 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.39 |
| 07-19 01:38 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.499 | $50.40 |
| 07-03 23:20 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.0k |
| 06-14 07:53 | Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.57 | $131.10 |
| 05-18 01:30 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.46 | $2.59 |
| 05-14 14:36 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3468561069 | $90.88 |
| 05-10 14:07 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.452 | $46.96 |
| 05-08 06:45 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.35 | $686.51 |
| 04-28 01:20 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $407.20 |
| 04-20 01:53 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 04-11 02:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $511.29 |
| 04-11 02:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 04-06 06:30 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.08 |
| 04-04 14:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $512.48 |
| 04-01 01:31 | Red Wings vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.999 | $512.49 |