dxy09
0x798b37462ce155754671cc1278a8263aa816cdd1
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $50.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $13.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.493 | 0.665 | $6.0k | +$1.6k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.610 | $3.5k | +$1.2k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.505 | $2.6k | +$960.23 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.581 | 0.755 | $1.4k | +$312.68 |
| Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance · Japan | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-62.64at 0.231Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- +$-78.32at 0.187Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$-81.33at 0.156Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:40 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.66 | $660.00 |
| 07-27 16:34 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6514 | $260.56 |
| 07-27 16:33 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $474.52 |
| 07-27 16:33 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $632.69 |
| 07-27 16:32 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.79 | $843.59 |
| 07-26 17:57 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.66 | $99.00 |
| 07-26 17:56 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 06-29 16:00 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 08:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $466.67 |
| 03-31 08:41 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1052512309 | $168.67 |
| 03-22 09:01 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.21 | $635.25 |
| 03-07 09:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2999999961 | $38.00 |
| 03-07 09:09 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4099999998 | $530.00 |
| 03-07 08:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5598824247 | $1000.00 |
| 03-07 08:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5506269524 | $600.00 |