fabmama
0x797317b10b11ed00a30155c9b1511471b9fc8ed9
- Realised P&L
- $-64.44
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $22.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.83at 0.461Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?
- +$28.78at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?
- +$23.36at 0.631Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 31?
- +$20.82at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 1?
- +$11.75at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1220695135 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1129164534 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0042802099 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.7860696455 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1049618147 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0189999991 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.13038394 | $40.00 |
| 07-30 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1213359977 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $15.55 |
| 07-30 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.0042585893 | $0.63 |
| 07-29 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |