0x794c185F81401495342dB5A89DA6aCc7f3d8c92B-1759598173327
0x794c185f81401495342db5a89da6acc7f3d8c92b
- Realised P&L
- $-600.06
- Volume
- $33.8k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $10.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$325.11at 0.380Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 11?
- +$187.41at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?
- +$165.96at 0.376Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 15?
- +$137.53at 0.421Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 13?
- +$137.25at 0.421Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.4356435484 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 08-02 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.78 |
| 08-02 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.1979564237 | $7.90 |
| 08-02 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5008593118 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $29.86 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5406903916 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.468835408 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $5.88 |
| 08-02 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |