PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x794c185F81401495342dB5A89DA6aCc7f3d8c92B-1759598173327

0x794c185f81401495342db5a89da6acc7f3d8c92b

Realised P&L
$-600.06
Volume
$33.8k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$10.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5? · Yes0.4360.445$10.21+$0.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00$3.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3PM ET · Up0.2130.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$1.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 11? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? · Down0.4900.000$0.00$130.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8AM ET · Down0.3660.000$0.00$35.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 6? · Yes0.3360.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:33Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5?BUY0.4356435484$10.00
08-02 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSELL0.23$9.20
08-02 20:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.5099999911$20.00
08-02 20:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.5$20.00
08-02 20:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSELL0.04$0.78
08-02 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00
08-02 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00
08-02 19:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.1979564237$7.90
08-02 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.5$20.00
08-02 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.5008593118$20.00
08-02 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSELL0.28$29.86
08-02 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.5406903916$50.00
08-02 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.468835408$50.00
08-02 14:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.3$5.88
08-02 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5099999786$10.00