0x78cace070d158a848937d29d8083dbf0212c9d00
- Realised P&L
- $-8.48
- Volume
- $284.92
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $86.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.626 | 0.715 | $35.41 | +$4.41 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 5? · No | 0.650 | 0.465 | $22.89 | −$9.11 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.315 | $15.75 | −$11.25 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5? · No | 0.910 | 0.845 | $12.30 | −$0.95 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 4? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.36at 0.587Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4?
- +$6.74at 0.648WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:15 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.6259615375 | $31.00 |
| 08-04 23:15 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 5? | BUY | 0.6499999959 | $32.00 |
| 08-04 22:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9099999979 | $13.25 |
| 08-04 15:10 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 08-04 14:17 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 4? | BUY | 0.6484780793 | $12.42 |
| 08-04 13:49 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.5874064114 | $28.99 |
| 08-04 11:53 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 4? | BUY | 0.3399999895 | $18.05 |