abunyee
0x78b6fe0311113729c2f5186fd7f2e5ab2c19bc74
- Realised P&L
- $-235.49
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $2.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.120 | $2.40 | −$6.80 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in June? · No | 0.812 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.24 |
| Will "Worldwide" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? · No | 0.423 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.46 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.86 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.40at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?
- +$0.34at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?
- +$0.21at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?
- +$0.20at 0.380Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?
- +$0.12at 0.530Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:31 | Will Trump praise Roger Penske in August? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 21:31 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-04 21:23 | Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.03 |
| 08-04 21:19 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 08-04 21:19 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 21:15 | Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 08-04 21:11 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-04 21:03 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 21:03 | Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.45 | $8.55 |
| 08-04 21:03 | Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.688 | $13.76 |
| 08-04 21:01 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.61 |
| 08-04 20:49 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $5.17 |
| 08-04 20:41 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | SELL | 0.449 | $6.74 |
| 08-04 20:39 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-04 20:19 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | SELL | 0.626 | $12.52 |