Rysvenn
0x78997320631f6b8ff06ec5225bd637cf0c52d946
- Realised P&L
- $-0.45
- Volume
- $291.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.30at 0.940France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.002Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 07:35 | Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.68 |
| 07-31 07:31 | Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.59 |
| 07-30 10:13 | Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.99 |
| 07-30 10:13 | Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 07-27 10:42 | Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 10:42 | Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-14 14:11 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 07-14 14:11 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 14:10 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 14:10 | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.39 |
| 07-14 14:09 | Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.89 |
| 07-14 14:09 | Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 07-14 14:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 07-14 14:07 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.63 |
| 07-14 14:07 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |