CB42
0x783b53f025442490cfb4b54793d81572e7d9dc4c
- Realised P&L
- $-16.1k
- Volume
- $4.07M
- Markets traded
- 2,744
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,744
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title · Yes | 0.830 | 0.870 | $1.0k | +$48.27 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.443 | 0.405 | $279.52 | −$25.97 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.045 | $65.67 | −$167.82 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.460 | 0.425 | $7.87 | −$0.65 |
| Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $5.74 | −$49.78 |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals · No | 0.481 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$624.26 |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals · No | 0.471 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.49 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$247.50 |
| Désiré Doué: 1+ goals · No | 0.744 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.03 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Travelers Championship? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.97 |
| Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.48 |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals · No | 0.574 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$278.02 |
| Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$425.00 |
| Leroy Sané: 1+ goals · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.201Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.5kat 0.067Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$5.0kat 0.393Kings vs. Raptors
- +$4.3kat 0.584Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
- +$4.0kat 0.100Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 12:29 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title | BUY | 0.83 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 19:57 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5375 | $1.1k |
| 07-12 16:53 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2009999999 | $1.5k |
| 07-12 03:54 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $4.0k |
| 07-10 18:05 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2475 | $247.50 |
| 07-09 22:06 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.67 | $2.7k |
| 06-30 06:13 | Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.949 | $385.29 |
| 06-29 16:54 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.63 | $630.00 |
| 06-26 20:09 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 06-26 19:00 | Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 06-25 02:43 | Relebohile Mofokeng: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 06-24 19:38 | Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.48 | $116.77 |
| 06-14 23:56 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.3 | $600.00 |
| 06-14 06:02 | Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.27 | $17.05 |
| 06-11 18:03 | Alexis Vega: 2+ shots | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |