0x77fc8333ad2C5Dc1a18A1A4755fA0e2BaE9fdb44-1785796074061
0x77fc8333ad2c5dc1a18a1a4755fa0e2bae9fdb44
- Realised P&L
- $-43.41
- Volume
- $829.94
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $366.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.695 | 0.635 | $217.07 | −$20.57 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.305 | $50.83 | +$0.83 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.655 | $46.79 | −$3.21 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.536 | 0.539 | $26.98 | +$0.17 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.125 | $25.00 | −$25.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:41 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.6954577366 | $224.87 |
| 08-04 20:34 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.6899999973 | $12.77 |
| 08-04 19:14 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 18:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.536 | $26.80 |
| 08-04 18:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |