PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x77d434547cdfddd452df835ded04d6ea48cacf09

Realised P&L
$-68.82
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$15.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0280.007$9.89$29.06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0890.135$2.84+$0.96
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes0.2400.190$1.54$0.41
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by August 31? · Yes0.0200.011$1.08$0.79
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0580.019$0.63$1.24
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00$18.78
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00$1.85
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? · No0.4200.000$0.00$1.95
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$7.51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.50
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.95
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.4050.000$0.00$3.74
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00$1.86
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? · No0.1200.000$0.00$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 15:38Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.0579999713$1.87
07-30 10:28Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.0266965749$37.10
07-28 03:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2729999924$16.91
07-27 03:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.194999928$1.87
07-27 03:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.194$9.44
07-21 16:54Andy Burnham out as UK PM by August 31?BUY0.02$1.87
07-16 04:27Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.0779522176$1.86
07-16 03:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0379999807$1.85
06-19 15:30No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?BUY0.0525407925$11.27
06-19 00:06No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?BUY0.0899999799$3.76
06-15 13:17Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?BUY0.12$1.50
06-14 15:21Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.32$1.86
06-14 15:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?BUY0.12$1.50
06-14 15:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?BUY0.12$1.50
06-14 15:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?BUY0.12$1.50
Trader 0x77d4…cf09 · PolyBot