ABC13213
0x77ad3ff9475fef9f8f2be602055e9dd8656b82bd
- Realised P&L
- $-895.76
- Volume
- $151.9k
- Markets traded
- 390
- Open portfolio
- $26.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded390
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.00at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
- +$109.40at 0.231Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$90.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 25?
- +$84.99at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 20?
- +$64.48at 0.533Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.19 | $17.53 |
| 08-04 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.33 |
| 08-04 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-04 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 08-03 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.85 |
| 08-03 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 08-01 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 08-01 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 07-30 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.68 |
| 07-30 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.57 |
| 07-29 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.91 |
| 07-28 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 07-28 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.15 |
| 07-27 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.11 |