0x7748e8f23f2623d8f47652445274eceea6ef0f3b
- Realised P&L
- $5.45
- Volume
- $67.73
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $3.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.395 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.115 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.375 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.087 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.71at 0.175Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
- +$2.73at 0.580Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5
- +$1.29at 0.810Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$0.14at 0.590New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
- +$0.13at 0.179Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 02:27 | Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | BUY | 0.1749998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 03:54 | Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 03:54 | Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | BUY | 0.2249998481 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 06:00 | Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $3.77 |
| 07-12 04:21 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.8099998736 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 04:20 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.202 | $1.13 |
| 07-12 04:19 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.10 |
| 07-11 00:52 | New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.58 | $1.05 |
| 07-11 00:52 | New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals | SELL | 0.67 | $1.13 |
| 07-10 18:26 | New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 17:11 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 16:16 | Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 16:13 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 16:11 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 16:09 | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |