Po1yBot-B2mz0tFnbo
0x772ffc0f1b10422053a511d4187f10ef133db3ae
- Realised P&L
- $-20.96
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $18.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.999 | $11.79 | +$7.90 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.340 | $6.54 | +$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$1.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.76at 0.489Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 20?
- +$12.42at 0.550Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?
- +$2.45at 0.550Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 21?
- +$2.36at 0.560Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?
- +$2.30at 0.566Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.70 |
| 08-03 08:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.14 |
| 08-03 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.96 |
| 08-03 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7699999118 | $1.31 |
| 08-03 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.48 |
| 08-03 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.09 |
| 08-03 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 04:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3299999862 | $8.88 |
| 08-03 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.08 |