0x76cC6B4feB72477290eBE9894b583E05123Ab941-1760065953734
0x76cc6b4feb72477290ebe9894b583e05123ab941
- Realised P&L
- $-48.72
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $8.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.245 | $8.96 | −$6.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up | 0.206 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down | 0.746 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.71 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? · Up | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.82 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down | 0.709 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.18at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.95at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$4.13at 0.699Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$3.79at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
- +$3.67at 0.561Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.4099999934 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $1.57 |
| 08-02 01:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.59 |
| 08-02 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 02:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 02:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 03:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $1.34 |
| 07-25 03:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 03:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $1.51 |
| 07-25 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 03:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $2.60 |
| 07-25 03:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |