Nimbus.Kelvin
0x75cccaced848ab3bd789057327e293e56b176b15
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $300.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,161
- Open portfolio
- $68.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,161
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.51at 0.288Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 6?
- +$91.67at 0.398Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?
- +$86.91at 0.065Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?
- +$74.59at 0.541Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?
- +$64.16at 0.498Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.3878064012 | $14.90 |
| 08-04 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.44 | $11.32 |
| 08-04 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.48 |
| 08-04 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.41 | $24.40 |
| 08-04 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4254054054 | $3.93 |
| 08-04 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4056625142 | $3.58 |
| 08-04 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.48 | $8.51 |
| 08-04 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.44 | $5.72 |
| 08-04 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.95 |
| 08-04 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.53 | $6.76 |
| 08-04 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.41 | $5.16 |
| 08-04 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.55 | $6.42 |
| 08-04 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.98 |
| 08-04 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.77 |