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Traders

Nimbus.Kelvin

0x75cccaced848ab3bd789057327e293e56b176b15

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$300.6k
Markets traded
2,161
Open portfolio
$68.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,161
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5? · Yes0.4700.415$22.07$2.93
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5? · Yes0.4700.400$20.00$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? · No0.5200.925$4.24+$1.86
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? · Yes0.4000.315$3.93$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5? · No0.4600.515$3.61+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? · Yes0.6000.660$2.57+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? · Yes0.4600.605$2.14+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? · Yes0.3401.000$2.13+$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes0.6301.000$2.05+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? · No0.4701.000$1.89+$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4? · Yes0.4800.999$1.55+$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? · Yes0.4700.475$1.52+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? · Yes0.4500.330$1.20$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? · Yes0.3800.025$0.06$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.4600.001$0.00$2.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:44Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5?SELL0.3878064012$14.90
08-04 16:05Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.44$11.32
08-04 14:36Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5?SELL0.43$3.48
08-04 13:24Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?SELL0.41$24.40
08-04 12:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?SELL0.4254054054$3.93
08-04 11:33Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.4056625142$3.58
08-04 10:52Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?SELL0.48$8.51
08-04 09:41Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?SELL0.44$5.72
08-04 08:52Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4?SELL0.36$7.20
08-04 07:40Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?SELL0.34$2.95
08-04 07:31Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?SELL0.53$6.76
08-04 06:47Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.41$5.16
08-04 06:06Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4?SELL0.55$6.42
08-04 06:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4?SELL0.42$2.98
08-04 05:48Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.29$2.77