0x75be8908c0ba5809e2df5893570b78b71c3C99dB-1773937362819
0x75be8908c0ba5809e2df5893570b78b71c3c99db
- Realised P&L
- $-148.63
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $27.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? · No | 0.528 | 0.680 | $27.05 | +$6.05 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.64 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.02at 0.644Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$3.36at 0.783Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$3.09at 0.560FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
- +$2.99at 0.794Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$2.73at 0.858Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:53 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3509999833 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 17:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939999872 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 16:21 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.13 |
| 06-14 15:43 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 06-14 15:09 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? | BUY | 0.3480179759 | $160.00 |
| 06-11 08:57 | Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? | BUY | 0.5279960224 | $21.00 |
| 04-21 20:50 | Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0871233383 | $1.60 |
| 04-21 20:49 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.39 |
| 04-21 20:41 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $7.03 |
| 04-21 20:33 | Will Inter win Coppa Italia? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.15 |
| 04-21 20:26 | Will Inter win Coppa Italia? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.78 |
| 04-21 18:32 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21? | BUY | 0.5099999541 | $3.88 |
| 04-21 18:32 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $3.89 |
| 04-21 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $8.55 |