0x75Bd2868E94AbB7482e05cCb2cb65cD7D1A91FEa-1771366869075
0x75bd2868e94abb7482e05ccb2cb65cd7d1a91fea
- Realised P&L
- $12.4k
- Volume
- $498.2k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $354.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.105 | $354.69 | −$485.31 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.62 |
| Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.95 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · No | 0.647 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.7k |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$164.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.172US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$6.0kat 0.260US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.223US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.416Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.299US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:20 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2486654952 | $840.00 |
| 06-20 13:23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6475481414 | $1.4k |
| 05-29 15:38 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.2980073222 | $2.7k |
| 05-29 15:30 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.4776180387 | $1000.00 |
| 05-29 15:30 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | BUY | 0.4399800732 | $1000.00 |
| 05-27 15:58 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY | 0.101767725 | $1.0k |
| 05-27 15:57 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.82 |
| 05-27 15:57 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | SELL | 0.1634279313 | $256.78 |
| 05-27 15:57 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | SELL | 0.1407410869 | $777.04 |
| 05-27 03:57 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | BUY | 0.1099999919 | $12.00 |
| 05-26 06:38 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 05-25 22:03 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.3671340119 | $250.00 |
| 05-25 21:52 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.3444793723 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 21:51 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.3333535951 | $200.00 |
| 05-25 21:50 | Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | BUY | 0.3532786932 | $249.79 |