PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

I0I0I0

0x758c7982c9086515eb40f4035f80170d5293074a

Realised P&L
$22.1k
Volume
$983.9k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1020.044$1.4k$1.7k
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0890.011$121.46$823.60
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.0300.004$46.01$260.26
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0890.000$0.00$920.77
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$2.9k
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$110.13
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$180.29
Israel closes its airspace by July 15? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$104.59
Israel closes its airspace by July 24? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$281.27
Iran full airspace closure by July 15? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$204.63
Israel closes its airspace by July 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$261.80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$348.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.0210000001$6.62
08-02 20:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.018$15.61
08-02 20:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.017$23.14
08-02 10:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.0339737083$260.92
07-31 18:17Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0168247641$79.00
07-31 18:11Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.014$42.32
07-31 18:10Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0100930103$77.05
07-31 18:07Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0059472235$62.79
07-29 19:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.109999999$88.52
07-29 19:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1$67.32
07-29 19:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1$125.25
07-29 18:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.09$98.97
07-29 18:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.09$172.49
07-29 18:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.08$142.34
07-26 15:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1052329019$8.49